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Understanding the Agreement Between Labour and FG: Implications and Challenges
On September 28, 2021, the Federal Government (FG) of Nigeria and the Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC) reached an agreement on several contentious issues, including fuel price, electricity tariff, minimum wage, and deregulation of the downstream oil sector. The agreement, which followed several days of protests, strikes, and negotiations, was hailed by both parties as a win-win outcome that averted a major crisis and addressed some of the long-standing demands of workers and citizens. However, the agreement also raises some questions and concerns about its feasibility, sustainability, and impact on the broader economic and political context.
One of the key outcomes of the agreement is the suspension of the implementation of the new electricity tariff for two weeks, during which a technical committee will review the justification and methodology of the tariff adjustment. This means that the recent increase in electricity bills will be rolled back for two weeks, and possibly revised or canceled if the committee finds it unjustified or excessive. Similarly, the FG promised to maintain the current fuel pump price of N165 per litre until the end of the year, while the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) will undertake measures to reduce the cost of petroleum products by increasing local refining and reducing importation. The deregulation of the downstream oil sector, which has been a contentious issue between the FG and the NLC for years, will be reviewed by a committee consisting of representatives from both parties, with the aim of finding a sustainable and equitable solution that benefits all stakeholders.
Another important aspect of the agreement is the commitment by the FG to submit two bills to the National Assembly for the repeal and re-enactment of the National Minimum Wage Act, 2019, and the Trade Union Act, 2004. The NLC had demanded the repeal of the minimum wage act, which it saw as inadequate and not reflective of the current economic realities, while the FG had resisted it as potentially destabilizing the fragile economy. The new bills are expected to address some of the concerns raised by both parties and provide a more comprehensive and responsive framework for wages and industrial relations. The FG also agreed to increase the budgetary allocation for the Social Investment Programme, which includes the N-Power scheme, the Conditional Cash Transfer, and the School Feeding Programme.
While the agreement between the FG and the NLC has been hailed as a significant breakthrough in the relationship between labour and the government, it also faces some challenges and implications. One of the challenges is the feasibility of the promises made by both parties, given the limited resources, institutional capacities, and political will of the FG. Some analysts have argued that the FG may not be able to sustain the current fuel price and electricity tariff without incurring more debt or cutting other essential services and projects. The NNPC`s plan to increase local refining may also face technical, financial, and environmental hurdles, as well as competition from private investors. The review of the downstream oil sector may also be complicated by the interests of powerful elites and stakeholders who benefit from the status quo.
Another challenge is the sustainability of the gains made by the NLC, especially in the long run. While the suspension of the electricity tariff and the maintenance of the fuel price may provide some relief to workers and citizens, they may not address the root causes of the problems, which are related to the structural and systemic issues in the energy sector and the economy as a whole. The new bills for the minimum wage and the trade union may also face resistance or dilution in the National Assembly, or be subjected to legal challenges or loopholes. The Social Investment Programme may also face challenges in reaching the intended beneficiaries and providing them with sustainable livelihoods and opportunities.
Moreover, the agreement between the FG and the NLC may have implications for the broader political context and the relations among other stakeholders. Some critics have argued that the agreement was a tactical move by the FG to appease the NLC and avoid further protests and disruptions, rather than a genuine effort to address the demands of workers and citizens. They also noted that the agreement did not address other critical issues, such as insecurity, corruption, and democratic governance, which are also of concern to labour and civil society groups. Moreover, the agreement may have unintended consequences for other sectors and actors, such as the private sector, investors, consumers, and international partners, who may be affected by the changes in the energy and labour policies.
In summary, the agreement between the FG and the NLC on the fuel price, electricity tariff, minimum wage, and deregulation of the downstream oil sector marks a significant milestone in the relationship between labour and the government in Nigeria. It reflects the power and influence of workers and their collective action in shaping policies and outcomes. However, the agreement also faces challenges and implications that require further scrutiny and analysis, to ensure that the gains made are not short-lived or superficial, and that they address the fundamental issues of social justice, economic prosperity, and democratic governance. As such, the agreement between the FG and the NLC should be seen as a starting point, rather than an endpoint, for the transformation of the energy and labour sectors in Nigeria.